"Poker Luck Meter"Let me introduce you to the “Poker Luck Meter” program. At many poker forums you will see complaints on big unluckiness (or poker-room dishonesty) – players get bad cards, they can’t improve, and always are rivaled by opponents with trashy cards. About 99% of the complaints are groundless; you must remember that a) poker has very high deviation, b) our brain remembers losses and “bad-beats” better than winnings, c) we do not know opponents’ cards, hence can’t calculate the real percentage of collected backdoor or gut-shot straights. This program will help you to evaluate your level of luckiness (unluckiness) using statistics. The program calculates dozens of various poker events, then compares the real number of events with the theoretical ones and summarizes the probabilities. Unfortunately the program isn’t 100% universal and can’t give you all info you would like to get. First of all, the “Poker Luck Meter” requires “Poker Tracker” to operate (to be more precise, not the program itself, but its database). If you do not have “Poker Tracker” or you play in rooms it doesn’t support, then you’ll be unable to use the “Poker Luck Meter”. Second, you can measure only your own luck, but not the luck of your opponents. The problem is that you do not know opponents’ pocket cards until they win the game. So if you try to run a check on your opponent using the program, he/she will look very lucky, as he/she folds bad cards and they do not go into the stats. Third, I can’t find a way to evaluate bad-beats level. If your pocket aces lost 3 times out of 5, is it too much or not? Unfortunately it’s impossible to answer the question. Probability will depend on number of opponents, their cards, etc. It will be different each game and we can’t calculate it as we do not know all pocket cards. Despite the number of limitations, IMHO program gives a good idea about your luck and/or poker room RNG randomness. I must say that my results in rooms of Cryptologic Network (90.000 hands), Prima Network (25.000 hands), Party Poker (36.000 hands) show that RNG is really random and I can’t be considered either particularly lucky or unlucky. All events have probability rate above 2%, except for the high number of flushes in Prima and pairs in Party. Content:1. Interface 2. Several words about distributions. 3. Article “Probabilities in Poker”. A few words about myself. My name is Yuri and I’ve been playing poker for several years. I’m also a gambling webmaster and own Internet-sites “Soft for Poker”, “Online Poker Ratings”, and “Best Bonuses”. If you have questions, recommendations, or feedback on the program please e-mail me or visit a forum.
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